Argentina captain Lionel Messi has strengthened his grip on the 2026 Ballon d’Or race after another match-winning performance at the FIFA World Cup 2026.

According to prediction platform Polymarket Sports, the 39-year-old is now the leading favourite to win football’s most prestigious individual award, with a 31.7% probability of claiming a record-extending ninth Ballon d’Or.

Messi’s latest rise comes after inspiring Argentina to a dramatic 2-1 comeback victory over England in the World Cup semi-finals, sending the defending champions into a second consecutive final.

The Inter Miami superstar once again delivered when it mattered most.

After England took the lead, Messi provided the assist for Enzo Fernandez’s equaliser before producing another moment of brilliance by setting up Lautaro Martinez for the dramatic late winner.

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His leadership and decisive contributions have been central to Argentina’s title defence, making him the standout candidate for the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

A World Cup triumph against Spain in the final would further strengthen Messi’s case to secure another historic individual accolade.

Messi tops the latest Ballon d’Or rankings after another exceptional World Cup campaign. The eight-time winner is chasing a record ninth Golden Ball and has once again proved decisive on football’s biggest stage.

Spain’s teenage sensation remains Messi’s closest challenger. Although he has scored only once at the tournament, Yamal has consistently influenced matches with his creativity and attacking flair. A standout performance in the World Cup final could significantly boost his chances.

England captain Harry Kane enjoyed another prolific tournament, scoring six goals to guide the Three Lions to the semi-finals. However, England’s elimination against Argentina has weakened his Ballon d’Or hopes.

The reigning Ballon d’Or holder drops to fourth despite winning the UEFA Champions League and domestic titles with Paris Saint-Germain. While he scored five goals during France’s World Cup campaign, the team’s semi-final exit has hurt his chances of retaining the award.

Real Madrid forward Kylian Mbappe completes the top five after another outstanding World Cup. The French captain registered eight goals and two assists, but France’s defeat to Spain in the semi-finals has significantly reduced his chances of lifting the Ballon d’Or.

With the World Cup final against Spain still to come, Messi remains in pole position to make football history once again.

Should Argentina successfully defend their World Cup title, the legendary forward would become the overwhelming favourite to claim an unprecedented ninth Ballon d’Or, further cementing his status as one of the greatest players the game has ever seen.